Aligned with ISO 31000

Your choice of goals
is your choice of risk.

De-Risk Matrix gives every strategic goal a live risk state — so your leadership team acts before it's too late, not after.

Never been easier to develop and achieve goals with thorough risk management.

Most organizations discover goal risk in the quarterly review. By then it's already a crisis.

14-day trial No lock-in Any language
ISO 31000aligned
6 risk statesalways live
5 AI toolspurpose-built
🌐Multi-languageany team, any language
Collaborationreal-time shared canvas
Workshop-readyworkshop → live system

Who it's for

Wherever goals exist, risk exists.

De-Risk Matrix works for any organization of any size, sector, or structure — because every organization sets goals, and every goal carries uncertainty.

🏢

Companies & corporations

Strategic goals, revenue targets, market position, operational KPIs.

🏗️

Project organizations

Cost, time, quality, scope — four goals every project lives or dies by.

🏛️

Public sector & municipalities

Service delivery targets, budget adherence, citizen outcomes.

🌍

NGOs & nonprofits

Impact goals, funding targets, program outcomes — risk is just as real.

🏥

Healthcare & social services

Patient outcomes, capacity goals, quality metrics, compliance targets.

⚖️

Regulated industries

Finance, insurance, energy — where structured risk documentation is mandatory.

🎓

Education & research

Enrollment targets, grant goals, research milestones, accreditation.

🤝

Consultancies & agencies

Manage and report on goal risk across multiple client engagements.

De-Risk Matrix gives your team superpowers.

Structured risk management used to require specialist consultants. Now any team can do it — continuously, in any language, with AI assistance.

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ISO 31000 · International Standard for Risk Management

The insight that changes everything

Risk is the effect of uncertainty
on your objectives.

Not a list of things that could go wrong.
Not probability × impact.
The effect of uncertainty on your specific goals.

Traditional risk thinking
What could go wrong?
Threat-only — misses upside uncertainty entirely
Probability × negative impact
Measures severity, not effect on your goals
Risk is separate from strategy
A parallel exercise, disconnected from objectives
Annual workshop → static register
Already outdated by the time it's published
5×5 matrix as primary tool
Designed for projects, not strategic portfolios
ISO 31000 · De-Risk Matrix
What is uncertainty doing to our goals?
Captures both upside and downside — all 6 risk states
Goal position × evidence strength
Risk is visible at the goal level, always
Risk IS strategy — goals are your risk picture
One system for goals, risk, culture, and actions
Continuous — every data point updates the picture
Live states, not a document filed away
6 risk states with prescribed leadership response
Know what to do next — not just how bad it is
Traditionally, risk meant how big the hole in the floor is — probability multiplied by negative consequence. But ISO 31000 looks upward: how high the building is, and how high it could grow. Risk is the effect of uncertainty on objectives — and that is exactly what De-Risk Matrix is built upon.
Magnus Bjelkerud
Magnus Bjelkerud
Creator, De-Risk Matrix

Why De-Risk Matrix

The 5×5 matrix was designed for projects.Not for strategy.

If your strategic goals aren't in the risk picture, you're managing the wrong risks.

Direction
Downside only — threats and harms
Upside + downside — all forms of uncertainty
Goal link
Disconnected from strategic goals
Risk IS goal achievement — inseparable
Frequency
Annual workshop → static risk register
Continuous — every data point updates states
Output
A list ranked by probability × impact
A live state with prescribed leadership action
Targets
Single-point targets — binary pass/fail
Spans: target + threshold — explicit risk appetite
Culture
Not addressed
Each state prescribes specific leader behaviors
Evidence
Subjective scoring in a workshop
14 evidence factors — AI-assisted, auditable
Without De-Risk Matrix
42M / 50M

❌ Miss? Or acceptable? Nobody knows.

No threshold defined. No urgency signal. React after the fact.

With De-Risk Matrix
42M
0Threshold: 40M ↑Target: 50M

✓ State: Harmonious — on track, act to ensure.

42M is above the 40M threshold. Risk is visible. Response is clear.

How it works

Goals. States. Culture. Learning.

Four steps. Repeated each period. Each cycle sharper than the last.

01

Define goal spans

Every goal gets a target (ambition) and a threshold (floor). The gap between them is your explicit risk appetite.

Revenue: 50M target · 40M threshold
02

Read the risk state

Goal position + evidence strength → one of 6 states, automatically. No subjectivity. No RAG committee debates.

Harmonious · Dire · Potent · Pessimistic
03

Act with purpose

Each state prescribes specific leadership behavior. Dire → escalate. Defensive → raise the target. Culture is not optional.

Dire → Lower · Defensive → Raise
04

Learn each cycle

Every data point improves calibration. Next period your forecasts are more precise. Your risk appetite is better defined.

Better targets → sharper risk picture

The De-Risk Matrix

Six risk states. Always visible.

Every goal is always in exactly one state — determined by where it sits relative to target and threshold, and the strength of your evidence. Each state tells you what to do next.

Strong evidence
Weak evidence
Beyond target
DefensiveRaise
Beyond targetStrong evidence

Exceeding target with strong evidence. Raise the target to capture more value and avoid complacency.

PotentExplore
Beyond targetWeak evidence

Exceeding target but without strong data. Explore whether this is real or a measurement gap.

On track
HarmoniousEnsure
On trackStrong evidence

On track with strong evidence. Ensure the conditions that got you here continue to hold.

OptimisticProve
On trackWeak evidence

On track but without sufficient data. Prove this trajectory is real by increasing evidence quality.

Below threshold
DireLower
Below thresholdStrong evidence

Confirmed underperformance. Lower uncertainty — escalate and take structured, immediate action.

PessimisticIntervene
Below thresholdWeak evidence

Below threshold with insufficient data. Intervene to gather evidence and stabilize the goal.

Risk culture

The risk state tells you where you are.Culture determines where you go.

Most risk tools report the state. De-Risk Matrix changes it — by prescribing specific leadership behaviors for each state. A Dire goal only improves when leaders act differently.

DefensiveRaise

Don't coast on success. Raise the ambition. Celebrate — then immediately recalibrate targets upward. Challenge complacency before it takes root.

Ambition"Good is not good enough if we can do better."
PotentExplore

Investigate before celebrating. Demand measurement clarity. Is this real performance — or a gap in how we measure? Great results need great explanations.

Intellectual honesty"Unexplained success is a risk we haven't named yet."
HarmoniousEnsure

Protect the conditions that got you here. Avoid unnecessary disruption. Maintain momentum. Stability is not complacency — it is a strategic choice.

Discipline"Don't fix what isn't broken. Protect what works."
OptimisticProve

Challenge assumptions. Create measurement discipline. Gut feel is not evidence. Demand the data that proves this trajectory is real — before the quarter ends.

Epistemic rigour"Optimism without evidence is a risk you haven't measured."
DireLower

Escalate immediately. Create urgency without panic. Lower uncertainty through structured action. There is no "wait and see" in a Dire state.

Psychological safety"Acknowledging Dire is not failure — staying silent is."
PessimisticIntervene

Intervene even with limited information. Do not wait for certainty before acting. Prioritize evidence gathering alongside stabilization — in parallel.

Courage under uncertainty"When data is scarce, gather it — don't wait for it."

De-Risk Matrix is the only risk framework that connects goal achievement,evidence strength, and prescribed leadership culture — in one live system.

Culture is not a soft topic. It is the primary variable that determines whether a Dire goal gets fixed or stays Dire. Every risk state in De-Risk Matrix comes with a specific leadership response — grounded in ISO 31000, ISO 45003, and psychological safety research.

Deep dive: risk culture and leadership →
🌐 Multi-language · Real-time collaboration

Your team speaks
many languages.
Your risk picture is one.

Teams across Oslo, London, Berlin, and Tokyo work on the same strategic goals — each in their own language. The risk state is universal: everyone knows what Dire means, regardless of what language they speak.

Same data, any language
Enter goals, data points, actions, and comments in any language. The underlying risk picture is shared — and identical — across the entire organization.
Real-time shared canvas
When a team member logs a data point in Warsaw, the risk state updates instantly for the leadership team in New York. One canvas. One source of truth.
Role-based contribution
Leaders define targets and thresholds. Managers log actuals and run workshops. Everyone sees the same risk canvas, with the access level that fits their role.
Revenue growth — one goal, any language
🇳🇴 Norwegian
Omsetningsvekst
Harmonious
🇬🇧 English
Revenue growth
Harmonious
🇩🇪 German
Umsatzwachstum
Harmonious
🇪🇸 Spanish
Crecimiento de ingresos
Armonioso
🇫🇷 French
Croissance du chiffre d'aff.
Harmonieux
🇯🇵 Japanese
収益成長
Harmonious
🇧🇷 Portuguese
Crescimento da receita
Harmonious
🇵🇱 Polish
Wzrost przychodów
Harmonious
Same risk state · same threshold · same canvas

Workshop-ready

A risk workshop that doesn't feeda live system is an expensive conversation.

With De-Risk Matrix, the workshop is the system setup. You walk out with a live risk canvas — not a PowerPoint deck that gets filed away.

Traditional risk workshop
Sticky notes on a wall
No structure, no system
Excel spreadsheet of risks
Disconnected from goals
PowerPoint presented to the board
A snapshot, already stale
Emailed as PDF — and forgotten
No follow-up mechanism
Next year: start from scratch
Zero learning between cycles
De-Risk Matrix workshop
Goals defined directly in the canvas
Structured, shared, live from minute one
AI assesses evidence in real time
Pre-checks factors as the team works
Risk states visible immediately to everyone
No interpretation needed — the state is clear
Actions tracked on the same platform
Ownership and follow-up built in
Next quarter: compare to last cycle
Learning accumulates with every period

A De-Risk Matrix workshop — how it runs

Five steps. Works in person or remote. Any language.

1
Define goal spans — together, in real time
Set targets and thresholds as a team, directly in the platform. Everyone sees the canvas. No translation to another system ever needed.
2
Assess evidence — AI pre-checks, team confirms
The AI Evidence Wizard suggests which of 14 evidence factors apply to each goal. Your team reviews, adjusts, and confirms in minutes.
3
Identify risk drivers — the AI coach asks the right questions
Chat-based risk driver analysis. What is causing this goal to be in a Pessimistic state? The AI helps surface drivers the team might miss.
4
Commit to cultural responses — logged, visible, owned
What does leadership commit to doing if Revenue turns Dire? Agreed on in the workshop, stored on the goal, visible to everyone on the canvas.
5
Walk out with a live system — not a presentation
The canvas is live from the moment the workshop ends. Every data point updates it. Risk states update automatically. Nothing gets filed away.

AI assistance

Five AI tools. Purpose-built for risk-aware strategy.

Not generic AI. These tools understand risk states, evidence strength, thresholds — and what Dire actually means.

AI Goal Assistant

Describe any goal in plain language. AI structures it instantly with target, threshold, unit, and category — in any language.

AI Evidence Wizard

Auto-suggests which of 14 evidence factors apply to your specific goal. You confirm, adjust, or override. Strength determined in minutes, not meetings.

📈

AI Forecast Wizard

Recommends growth rate and type with full reasoning — backed by Monte Carlo probability analysis across hundreds of simulations.

AI Risk Driver Coach

Chat-based analysis of what's driving risk across any scope — a single goal, a department, or the entire company. Ask it anything.

🎯

AI Action Wizard

Generates prioritized, concrete actions matched to your current risk state and identified risk drivers. Not generic advice — state-specific.

“Ask the AI what's driving your Dire goals. It will tell you — and it will suggest what to do next.”

5 questions · 2 minutes · Free · No sign-up

Where does your strategy have blind spots?

Most leadership teams can't answer these five questions well. Can yours?

01

How do you define strategic goals?

Target numbers alone aren't enough.

02

How fast do you catch underperforming goals?

Most teams find out too late.

03

What actually drives your strategic decisions?

Data, gut feel, or both?

04

How openly does leadership discuss risk?

Culture is the biggest gap.

+1 more question · instant score · your personal gap analysis

Find out your score →

No email required. Instant result.

Ready to see your goals in a new light?

14-day trial. All features. Your first risk state overview in under 10 minutes. Any language.

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The platform

Everything strategy needs — one canvas

Goals, risk states, forecasts, workshops, AI, actions, and culture — in one shared workspace.

🏗️

Full goal hierarchy

Enterprise goals cascade into departments and projects. See how team-level work rolls up to company strategy.

📡

Live risk canvas

Every goal, every state, at a glance. One shared view that replaces the quarterly surprise — updated in real time.

📊

Forecast engine

Linear trend, Holt-Winters, AI recommendation, and Monte Carlo — four forecast models, one click.

📋

Actions tied to risk state

Actions live on goals. When a goal turns Dire, you know what to do — and whether it's been done.

Pricing

All features. Always.

Pay only for how many people you invite.

All features identical · The only difference is how many people you invite

Starter

Invite up to 5 people
Team members · Executives · Board observers
€39/month

€49/month billed monthly · 14-day free trial

  • All 6 risk states & AI tools
  • Multi-language collaboration
  • Workshop → live system
  • Goal hierarchy & forecasting
  • CSV import & evidence scoring
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No credit card required

Most popular

Growth

Invite as many as you need
Team · Managers · Executives · Board · Stakeholders
€119/month

€149/month billed monthly · 14-day free trial

  • Everything in Starter
  • Unlimited users — no seat caps
  • Full enterprise goal hierarchy
  • API webhooks & integrations
  • Priority support
Start free trial →

No credit card required

Board packages, executive access, and full feature breakdown →

See full pricing details and FAQ →

Right now

Some of your goals are heading toward breach.

Do you know which ones?

Your risk picture exists whether you read it or not. De-Risk Matrix makes it visible — from day one, in any language, for every team across your organization.

14-day trial · No lock-in · All features included · Any language